AI adopters, US small caps, and international equities
Artificial intelligence (AI) remains a powerful and expanding global investment theme. Opportunities now extend beyond US mega-cap technology companies to include AI adopters, US small caps, and international markets. While valuation discounts and policy support have created attractive opportunities outside the traditional leaders, today’s geopolitical, energy, and inflation risks make humility, diversification, and disciplined position sizing more important than ever.
AI is booming — and not just in the US
It is full speed ahead for AI investment, as more companies discover the technology’s ever-growing power. We continue to believe there is significant opportunity in taking a global approach to this theme, both domestically and abroad, by capturing both the AI builders and the expanding universe of adopters, while remaining cautious of companies whose business models may be disrupted.
Consider going beyond US large caps
Although US large caps continue to deliver, we believe some of the most underappreciated opportunities can be found in US small caps and international equities as the broadening theme continues. The war has bruised the international story in the near term, with Europe and Japan more exposed to energy disruption, but fiscal and monetary support in Europe, a pro-growth Japanese prime minister, and persistent valuation discounts keep us constructive. US small-cap valuations also continue to appear inexpensive and will likely benefit from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, given their domestic US exposure.
Humility continues to be crucial
The war, uncertainty around its outcome, and stubbornly high energy prices reinforce the case for humility, just as last April’s tariff selloff did before them. These events serve as reminders to not become overconfident about how the future may unfold. Humility means diversifying and sizing positions appropriately while recognizing the uncertainty that’s present in today’s markets. Surprisingly, this approach may also support stronger outperformance by allowing investors to capture emerging themes through smaller positions before they become more broadly recognized in the marketplace.
Key takeaways
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Consider taking a global approach to artificial intelligence.
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The war has weighed on international markets, which nonetheless are poised to benefit from several tailwinds.
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Stay humble. Recognize the continuing uncertainty in the market. Seek out a diversified set of opportunities. Size portfolio positions appropriately.
Top of mind: Oil and AI
Percent of MSCI World Index companies
mentioning "oil," "agentic," or "memory" on earning calls
Source: Bloomberg, as of 5/26/2026.