ClariVest Asset Management

Stay humble and avoid anchoring

 

Staying humble and avoiding anchoring

We believe the investment landscape of 2026 will reward equity investors who are humble and who accept the limitations of what is truly “knowable” in the current environment – they must rein in their bets to be commensurate with the elevated policy uncertainty and economic uncertainty that is present, especially since some areas of the market are priced quite richly.

That’s not to say there aren’t attractive prospects. While U.S. large-cap companies continue to impress, they are not the only place to find growth opportunities. As interest rates decline and deregulation related to the One Big Beautiful Bill Act takes effect in the United States, smaller companies are likely to react favorably. And some of the most underappreciated opportunities for equity investors may be found outside the United States.

In 2025, returns came from unexpected sources, such as European banks rebounding from long-term underperformance, defense stocks benefitting from structural shifts, and gold stocks bolstered by surging bullion prices. The winners of 2026 may very well emerge from similarly surprising areas. Again, investors need the humility to avoid anchoring on preconceived notions of where to find growth in fundamentals.

The evolving AI ecosystem, in the United States and beyond, illustrates this perfectly. Given the boom in AI, and particularly agentic AI’s rising impact worldwide, it seems quite likely that a fresh crop of winners will emerge – either as beneficiaries of the AI buildout or of AI-based efficiencies. That said, AI-related weakness in employment may create headwinds elsewhere.

Key takeaways

  • Challenges in 2026: ever-shifting trade policies, geopolitical risk, emerging credit issues, and elevated valuations in some equity markets.

  • Pockets of strength due to the AI boom and other trends (and mini trends) are likely to result in opportunities for investors, especially when they occur in unexpected places.

  • 2026 winners will likely come from diverse sectors, not just information technology, and various countries, not just the United States.

  • Staying humble and diversified while remaining responsive to new trends will be crucial in 2026.

 


 

Risk Information:

Investing involves risk, including risk of loss.

Diversification does not ensure a profit or guarantee against loss.

Disclosures

There is no assurance that any prediction, projection or forecast on the economy, stock market, bond market or the economic trends of the markets will be realized.

Index or benchmark performance presented in this document does not reflect the deduction of advisory fees, transaction charges, or other expenses, which would reduce performance. Indexes are unmanaged. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Any investor who attempts to mimic the performance of an index would incur fees and expenses that would reduce return.

This document is a general communication being provided for informational purposes only. It is educational in nature and not designed to be taken as advice or a recommendation for any specific investment product, strategy, plan feature, or other purpose in any jurisdiction, nor is it a commitment from Raymond James Investment Management or any of its affiliates to participate in any of the transactions mentioned herein. Any examples used are generic, hypothetical, and for illustration purposes only. This material does not contain sufficient information to support an investment decision, and you should not rely on it in evaluating the merits of investing in any securities or products. In addition, users should make an independent assessment of the legal, regulatory, tax, credit, and accounting implications and make their own determinations together with their own professionals in those fields. Any forecasts, figures, opinions, or investment techniques and strategies set out are for information purposes only, based on certain assumptions and current market conditions, and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of production, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect of any error or omission is accepted. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements, and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yields are not reliable indicators of current and future results.

The views and opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the broker/dealer or any affiliates. Nothing discussed or suggested should be construed as permission to supersede or circumvent any broker/dealer policies, procedures, rules, and guidelines.

Sector investments are companies engaged in business related to a specific sector. They are subject to fierce competition and their products and services may be subject to rapid obsolescence. There are additional risks associated with investing in an individual sector, including limited diversification.

International investing presents specific risks, such as currency fluctuations, differences in financial accounting standards, and potential political and economic instability. These risks are further accentuated in emerging market countries where risks can also include possible economic dependency on revenues from particular commodities or on international aid or development assistance, currency transfer restrictions, and liquidity risks related to lower trading volumes.

Investing in small cap stocks generally involves greater risks, and therefore, may not be appropriate for every investor. The prices of small company stocks may be subject to more volatility than those of large company stocks.

Commodity-linked investments may be more volatile and less liquid than the underlying instruments or measures, and their value may be affected by the performance of the overall commodities baskets as well as weather, disease, and regulatory developments.

Definitions

Artificial intelligence (AI) — A technology that enables computers and machines to simulate human learning, comprehension, problem solving, decision making, creativity, and autonomy. Agentic AI can act autonomously, make adaptations as it goes, and address multi-step tasks based on context and objectives with limited human supervision.

Growth investing — A stock-buying strategy that focuses on companies expected to grow at an above-average rate compared to their industry or the market.

Headwind — An event or market force that hinders the prospects for performance in an individual investment or group of investments.

Market capitalization / market cap — The total dollar market value of a company’s outstanding shares of stock.

One Big Beautiful Bill Act — An act passed and signed into law in July 2025 that raised the U.S. debt ceiling by $5 trillion, made permanent tax cuts created by the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017, and changed a wide range of other aspects of federal tax policy, making changes to health insurance legislation, phasing out or reducing credits for clean energy production or use, and removing tax benefits for illegal immigrants.

Indices

The MSCI ACWI (All Country World Index) ex USA Index captures large- and mid-cap representation across 22 of 23 developed markets countries (excluding the United States) and 24 emerging markets countries. With 2,228 constituents, the index covers approximately 85% of the global equity opportunity set outside the United States. Developed markets countries include Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Japan, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Portugal, Singapore, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the U.K. Emerging markets countries include Brazil, Chile, China, Colombia, Czech Republic, Egypt, Greece, Hungary, India, Indonesia, Korea, Kuwait, Malaysia, Mexico, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Taiwan, Thailand, Turkey and United Arab Emirates.

About ClariVest Asset Management

ClariVest Asset Management is built around a single core investment philosophy: Clarity in the investment process is critical to maintaining strong performance and client relationships. We believe that success is dependent upon several factors, the most important of which is a disciplined investment strategy with a talented, experienced team of people to execute it.

M-853958 Exp. 5/15/2026